Msika wa mbatata umadziwika kuti ndiwosakhazikika ndi nsonga zazikulu ndi zitsime zazikulu pachaka. Mtengo wosakhazikika wa mitengo ya mbatata, pamlingo wina, umakhudzana ndi nyengo zomwe sizimadziwika. Izi ndizofunikira kwambiri mu mbatata kuposa mbewu zina zambiri ku UK chifukwa chakuchepa kwamisika yamazira mbatata yomwe imakhala ndi malonda ochepa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Izi zimapangitsa kuti zikhale zovuta kukonzekera phindu lanu lalitali.
Koma, mumadziwa bwanji zomwe zili mtengo wabwino kapena zoyipa? Zonse zili bwino kunena kuti kukwera mtengo ndikwabwino koma pali zambiri kuposa izi.
Mfundo zazikulu
- Kutsika kwamitengo yamafuta osapindulitsa kunapindulitsa ndalama zolowetsa mafuta ndi feteleza chaka chatha. Mtengo wamafuta amawerengedwa kuti ndi pafupifupi $ 233 / ha pokonza mbatata ndi £ 306 / ha wa mbatata zatsopano zamsika.
- Mtengo wolowetsera feteleza akuti wagwera pa £ 46 / ha kufika pa £ 376 / ha wa mbatata yatsopano. Dontho lakukonza mbatata limapitilira $ 47.00 / ha, mtengo wake ndi $ 363 / ha.
- Ndalama zotetezera mbeu zakula mu 2020 ndikuwonongeka kwa zochitika zingapo m'zaka zaposachedwa. Kwa mbatata zatsopano zamsika, mtengo wokwera ndi £ 79 / ha mpaka £ 654 / ha. Pakukonza mbatata, chiwonjezerekochi chikuwonjezeka kufika pa $ 96 / ha kufika pa $ 756 / ha.
Chifukwa chiyani izi ndizofunikira kwa ine?
Ndikofunikira kwa mlimi wogula kwaulere komanso wolima mgwirizano. Kwa iwo omwe akufuna kukula pamgwirizano, ndipo kwa ambiri mapanganowo apangidwa m'masabata akudzawa, ndikofunikira kudziwa mtengo wanu wopangira komanso ndalama zanu zosungira, momwe zingathere, musanachite mgwirizano. Mtengo wopangira ndi mtengo wanu wopanga mgwirizano ndi kusuntha kuchokera kumunda. Komabe, ngati mukukonzekera kusaina kontrakitala woyenda kumapeto kwa nyengo nyengo zosungira ndizofunikanso chifukwa mtengo womwe wabwereranso udzawonjezeka tsiku lililonse.
Wokulima waulere ali pachiwopsezo chowonjezeka pakusintha kwamitengo koma, podziwa kuti mtengo wopumira ungathandize kupanga zisankho zanzeru nthawi yoti mugulitse. Zilola kusankha bwino ngati kuli koyenera kudikirira mtengo wabwino kapena ngati phindu likupezeka pano; kuti mugwiritse ntchito mwayiwo ndikupewa kutsika kwamitengo mtsogolo.
Ngakhale mtengo wathu wopanga umaphatikizapo ndalama zosungira. Ndalama izi zimakhudzidwa ndimitengo ingapo yama index motero sangathe kudzipatula. Ngati mumasunga nthawi yayitali ndikofunikira kuti mumvetsetse ndalama zanu zosungira monga nthawi yopumira, yomwe pang'onopang'ono imakwera. AHDB ili ndi chosungira mtengo chosungira chilipo Pano zomwe zidzakuthandizani kuwunika mtengo pachisankho chilichonse. Tidawunikiranso mtengo wosungira pambuyo pa CIPC chaka chatha pakuwunika komwe ndiko alipo pano.
Dziwani mtengo wanu wopangira
Tili ndi zida zomwe zingakuthandizeni kuwerengera ndalama zanu, monga tikumvetsetsa kuti bizinesi iliyonse ndiyosiyana ndipo palibe "kukula kwake komwe kumakwanira zonse" zikafika pamtengo wopangira. Ngakhale mitengo yolowetsa mbeu yakwera, mtengo wa feteleza ndi mafuta watsika koma osakwanira kuchepetsa mtengo pa hekitala . Komabe, zokolola zochulukirapo zatanthawuza kuti ndalama zimafalikira kupitilira matani ambiri ndikuyendetsa kutsika kwa mtengo wopanga pa tani imodzi.
Ndi zolowetsa ziti zomwe zasintha mu 2020?
mafuta
Chaka chatha, mitengo ya dizilo yofiira idatsika pamtengo wotsika kwambiri kuyambira 2016 ku 52.42ppl. Izi zimayendetsedwa ndi kuchepa kwakukulu pamitengo yamafuta osakhazikika chifukwa chakuchepa kwapadziko lonse lapansi komwe kumachepetsa mafuta.
Mtengo wamafuta amawerengedwa kuti ndi pafupifupi $ 233 / ha pokonza mbatata ndi £ 306 / ha wa mbatata zatsopano zamsika. Tiyenera kudziwa kuti mitengo yamafuta osakonzeka yayamba kale kutsika kuchokera pamitengo yotsika chaka chatha. Zokhoma zikafika pochepetsa kumapeto kwa chaka chino, titha kuwona mitengo yamafuta ikupitanso.
Feteleza
Mtengo wa zolowetsa feteleza nawonso watsika mu 2020. Mtengo wapakati (Jan-Nov) wa Ammonium Nitrate (34.5% N) wolowa kunja adatsika $ 42 / t kuyambira 2019 mpaka 2020. Kufuna kochepera limodzi ndi mitengo yotsika yotsika yathandizira mitengo ina ya feteleza kugwa. Mtengo wolowetsera feteleza akuti wagwera pa £ 46 / ha kufika pa £ 376 / ha wa mbatata yatsopano. Dontho lakukonza mbatata limapitilira $ 47 / ha, ndikuwononga pafupifupi $ 363 / ha.
Mitengo yamafuta ndi feteleza nthawi zambiri imasintha pamwezi malinga ndi kufunika, kutanthauza kuti tsiku logula ndi magwiritsidwe azinthu zimakhudza bizinesi yam'munda.
Kuteteza mbeu
Kutayika kwa zinthu zingapo m'zaka zaposachedwa kwatanthauza kuti mitengo yoteteza mbewu yakula. Izi zalepheretsa kutsika kwakukulu pamtengo wa tonne wa ziwerengero zopanga. Kwa mbatata yatsopano pa hekitala, kuteteza mbewu kumawonjezera £ 79 / ha zomwe zikufanana ndi mtengo wokwanira pafupifupi $ 654.00 / ha. Kuwonjezeka kukwera mpaka $ 96 / ha pokonza mbatata pafupifupi $ 756 / ha. Mtengo wa tonne unachepetsedwa ndi mtengo wotsika wa mafuta ndi feteleza, komanso kukolola kwa zokolola.
Kuyang'ana patsogolo
Kukonzanso pamitengo yamafuta mu 2021 kumatha kunena zakukwera kwamitengo yopanga. Kutulutsa katemera kumatanthauza kuti njira zothetsera mavuto padziko lonse lapansi ziyenera kuchepetsedwa chaka chino, ndikubwezeretsa kufunikira kwa misika yamafuta osakongola. Izi nazonso zitha kukulitsa mtengo wopangira fetereza, zomwe zingabweretse kukwera kwa ndalama zolowetsera komwe ndalama zitha kupangidwa mu 2020. Ndi zoteteza mbewu zomwe zingakwere nawonso, mtengo wonse wopangira mbatata mu 2021 ukhoza kukwera.
Kuchepetsa njira zotsekera ku UK kuyenera kutanthauzira kubwerera kwa kufunika kwa misika ya mbatata. Izi ndizofunikira kwambiri, popeza magawo ambiri a mbatata awona mitengo yogula kwaulere yotsika mtengo wa zopangira nyengo yayitali mpaka pano. Komabe, kuchuluka kwa matenda opatsirana panthawi yolemba, kumatha kuchepetsa kuchuluka kwa zofuna zomwe zingakhudze misika yogula zaulere kupitilira apo.
Monga tanenera kale, njira imodzi yomwe alimi adayesetsa kuchepetsa kusakhazikika pamisika yamatata ndikuwonjezera malo omwe agulitsa. Izi zitha kupitilira nyengo yatsopano. Tikukulimbikitsani kugwiritsa ntchito zida monga Farmbench wa AHDB omwe ndi aulere kugwiritsa ntchito, ndipo adzawerengera mtengo wanu wazopanga kuti muthandizane pakusankha kwamalonda.
- Farmbench ya AHDB ikuthandizani kuti mupange bajeti zokhala ndi mapulani amomwe mungagwiritsire ntchito kutsatsa.
- Kodi malingaliro anu ndi otani pankhani yangozi, kodi mgwirizano wanu vs freebuy split ungasinthidwe?
Zolemba zowonjezera
- Ziwerengero za 2018 ndi 2019 zochokera ku data yolemera ya AHDB Farmbench: ahdb.org.uk/Farmbench
- Ziwerengero za 2020 zoyerekeza ndizokhazikitsidwa ndi zotsatira za Farmbench 2019 ndi Defra Agricultural Price Index ya zolowetsa zaulimi ku UK.
- Zambiri za Farmbench zimakhazikitsidwa pazotsatira zopitilira 220 za malonda a mbatata.